Hazardous Weather Outlook


Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1000 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-251015-
Adair OK-Benton AR-Carroll AR-Cherokee OK-Choctaw OK-Craig OK-
Crawford AR-Creek OK-Delaware OK-Franklin AR-Haskell OK-Latimer OK-
Le Flore OK-Madison AR-Mayes OK-McIntosh OK-Muskogee OK-Nowata OK-
Okfuskee OK-Okmulgee OK-Osage OK-Ottawa OK-Pawnee OK-Pittsburg OK-
Pushmataha OK-Rogers OK-Sebastian AR-Sequoyah OK-Tulsa OK-Wagoner OK-
Washington OK-Washington AR-
1000 PM CDT Fri May 24 2019


This Outlook is for Northwest and West Central Arkansas as well as
much of Eastern Oklahoma.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Mainly Northwest of Interstate 44.
ONSET...Ongoing.

FLASH FLOOD.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

Greatest Area of Concern...Northwest Of A Line From Bristow To Nowata.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...Elevated.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

SIGNIFICANT WINDS.
RISK...Limited.
AREA...Northeast Oklahoma.
ONSET...Ongoing.

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms are expected to continue to spread across Northeast
Oklahoma and into parts of Northwest Arkansas tonight. The
greater thunderstorm potentials are forecast along and northwest
of a line from Okemah to Miami. Overall severe potentials are
forecast to be limited overnight...though an isolated severe
potential will remain possible with locally damaging winds being
the main threat over Northeast Oklahoma.

Heavy rainfall will also be main concern with thunderstorms
through tonight. Additional rainfall amounts locally reaching up
around 2 inches and greater may be possible which will likely
lead to flash flooding and excessive runoff on already saturated
grounds. The areas of greater concern are forecast along and
northwest of a line from Bristow to Nowata in Northeast Oklahoma.
A flash flood watch is in effect for most locations along and
northwest of Interstate 44.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
Local Spotter Activation May Be Needed.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.
MONDAY...Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential.
TUESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential...High Wind Potential...Heavy
  Rain Potential.
WEDNESDAY...Severe Thunderstorm Potential.
THURSDAY...Thunderstorm Potential.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorm chances will remain possible across Northeast
Oklahoma into far Northwest Arkansas through the weekend as a
series of upper level impulses move over the region.
Again...additional rainfall would likely continue flash flooding
concerns as well as the expected long duration mainstem river
flooding. Additional thunderstorm chances are forecast to increase
Tuesday into Wednesday as a low pressure system lifts northeast
through the Plains. Severe weather and also heavy rainfall will
be possible with this system.

weather.gov/tulsa contains additional information.